Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000188 0.000209 0.000231 0.000256 0.000285 0.000317 0.000354
2025-05-25 0.000150 0.000179 0.000213 0.000257 0.000310 0.000375 0.000458
2025-06-01 0.000125 0.000158 0.000199 0.000254 0.000326 0.000420 0.000552
2025-06-08 0.000106 0.000139 0.000183 0.000245 0.000331 0.000449 0.000626
2025-06-15 0.000096 0.000131 0.000178 0.000248 0.000351 0.000499 0.000733
2025-06-22 0.000088 0.000124 0.000175 0.000253 0.000373 0.000554 0.000856
2025-06-29 0.000079 0.000114 0.000166 0.000247 0.000378 0.000583 0.000941
2025-07-06 0.000070 0.000104 0.000154 0.000236 0.000372 0.000594 0.000998
2025-07-13 0.000065 0.000099 0.000150 0.000237 0.000385 0.000636 0.001114
2025-07-20 0.000062 0.000095 0.000149 0.000241 0.000403 0.000688 0.001255
2025-07-27 0.000057 0.000091 0.000144 0.000239 0.000411 0.000724 0.001371
2025-08-03 0.000055 0.000088 0.000143 0.000244 0.000431 0.000784 0.001544
2025-08-10 0.000051 0.000084 0.000139 0.000243 0.000443 0.000832 0.001704
2025-08-17 0.000048 0.000080 0.000135 0.000241 0.000452 0.000878 0.001872
2025-08-24 0.000044 0.000075 0.000130 0.000238 0.000458 0.000917 0.002033
2025-08-31 0.000041 0.000070 0.000123 0.000230 0.000453 0.000932 0.002139
2025-09-07 0.000039 0.000068 0.000122 0.000233 0.000471 0.001001 0.002393
2025-09-14 0.000037 0.000067 0.000121 0.000237 0.000494 0.001083 0.002699
2025-09-21 0.000035 0.000063 0.000117 0.000232 0.000494 0.001113 0.002870
2025-09-28 0.000032 0.000059 0.000110 0.000222 0.000482 0.001109 0.002948
2025-10-05 0.000031 0.000057 0.000108 0.000223 0.000495 0.001172 0.003234
2025-10-12 0.000029 0.000056 0.000107 0.000226 0.000514 0.001254 0.003597
2025-10-19 0.000028 0.000053 0.000105 0.000224 0.000521 0.001304 0.003873